This is the most optimistic scenario, although 2028 is increasingly being cited as the more realistic date. Microsoft plans to make the console a "full-fledged Windows computer," which could completely change perceptions of console gaming.
The main problem could be a shortage of components. According to Tom Henderson of Insider Gaming, the industry is facing a shortage of RAM, which is being heavily purchased by the artificial intelligence sector. The "memory apocalypse" calls a 2027 release into question — Microsoft needs to secure sufficient chip supplies to avoid the availability issues seen with the current generation.
Fans are hoping for November 15, 2026: Xbox's 25th anniversary would be a symbolic date for the first official presentation, even if the release takes place later. According to rumors, PlayStation 6 will have to wait even longer than the new Xbox.